30 Sep '12, 4pm

Geoffrey Mutai: 2:04:15, misses WR

Firstly, the AVERAGE pace needed to run the world record is 2:55.8. That translates to a 14:39/5km. Notice how Mutai did not hit that pace until the second half of the race . In fact, he was actually quite a lot slower than the overall average, with his splits for the first 10km projecting a time outside 2:05. So the first half was conservative - 62:12. Interestingly, I've since received some feedback that the pace car that drives the route with the elite athletes displaying the kilometer splits was responsible for this conservative start, because it "froze" with a kilometer time of 2:50 within the first few kilometers of the race. Mutai, assuming he was basing his pace on that information, would have consciously held back for fear of maintaining that kind of pace, and the consequence of that is that he went through the half about 35 seconds slower than had been requested....

Full article: http://www.sportsscientists.com/2012/09/geoffrey-mutai-20...

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